Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000016 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000025 0.000029 0.000033
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043
2024-12-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000056
2025-01-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000070
2025-01-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000049 0.000083
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000054 0.000099
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000034 0.000059 0.000117
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000036 0.000065 0.000144
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037 0.000071 0.000170
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000022 0.000039 0.000079 0.000209
2025-02-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000022 0.000041 0.000089 0.000265
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000023 0.000044 0.000099 0.000334
2025-03-09 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000045 0.000107 0.000406
2025-03-16 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000046 0.000116 0.000497
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000022 0.000048 0.000128 0.000637
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000049 0.000141 0.000824
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000050 0.000149 0.001005
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000051 0.000160 0.001261
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000052 0.000173 0.001642
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000054 0.000194 0.002352
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000055 0.000209 0.003200
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000058 0.000234 0.004934
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000061 0.000272 0.009037